Recent comments in /f/Futurology
mjrossman OP t1_jd2hn4a wrote
Reply to comment by Disastrous_Ball2542 in AI displacing jobs is a red herring, how we self-organize is the more fundamental trend by mjrossman
are we absolutely sure that the average multiple during high rate environments is going to stabilize at a minimum, and during a zero-rate moment in the not-too-distant future, are average multiples going to reach a maximum because they must be dictated by retail speculation as the buyer of last resort? I'm willing to argue no to both. we're going to observe disruption that supercedes the macro sentiment.
Dziadzios t1_jd2hgrd wrote
Reply to AI creating Games by 2farzzz
I think the general approach of roguelike games can work. Use it to generate level design. Place on the level playable characters based on selected genre. Use AI to generate models and music to make it fresh. Use AI to write dialogue of NPC.
I think such modular roguelike with selectable genre is possible.
YawnTractor_1756 t1_jd2h9zc wrote
Reply to comment by cptn__ in UN climate report: Scientists release 'survival guide' to avert climate disaster by filosoful
No, these headlines are not consensus of large group of scientists. He interprets IPCC reports whatever he sees fit for headlines and dramatizes science to the point of perversion.
Dramatic and factually false headlines have clear psychological side effects on people with unknown long term consequences. I regularly see people on this sub citing climate as *main* reason they do not have kids or do not plan for future.
Thanks to headlines like this. Thanks to people like him. And to people like you who see nothing special in his lies, because "the cause is just".
2farzzz OP t1_jd2h8sy wrote
Reply to comment by OkSoBasicallyImDumb in AI creating Games by 2farzzz
I mean a complete game just like how Bluewillow works creating an image out of text.
Real_Jackraps t1_jd2h6mx wrote
Reply to comment by lonely40m in I asked GPT-4 to compile a timeline on when which human tasks (not jobs) have been/will be replaced by AI or robots, plus one sentence reasoning each - it runs from 1959 to 2033. In a second post it lists which tasks it assumes will NOT be replaced by 2050, and why. (Remember it's cut-off 2021.) by marcandreewolf
That's what we do with each other.
Disastrous_Ball2542 t1_jd2h47l wrote
Reply to comment by mjrossman in AI displacing jobs is a red herring, how we self-organize is the more fundamental trend by mjrossman
It is theoretical bc currently (and for foreseeable future) value multiples are more affected by interest rates than AI or any other technology
For purely speculative tech like AI, valuations don't matter, momentum and money flow does ie. Pets.com during dot com bubble
mjrossman OP t1_jd2gyxk wrote
Reply to comment by Disastrous_Ball2542 in AI displacing jobs is a red herring, how we self-organize is the more fundamental trend by mjrossman
precisely the point. but it's not a theoretical conjecture, there is a very practical connection between the job exposure paper, several sources of labor market truth, and the current capabilities of Langchain + Alpaca. everyone should be asking why the public should bear anywhere the same cost to necessitate the multiple that VCs/CEOs/EAs/consultants are compensated for, given how exposed these sectors are at present.
Kaz_55 t1_jd2gkoi wrote
Reply to comment by Leanfounder in UN climate report: Scientists release 'survival guide' to avert climate disaster by filosoful
> when these “environments” don’t suggest it
These what
Also no, nuclear is not the solution, I don't know how often this has to be pointed out. Nuclear is too slow, to expensive and not even scalable:
https://phys.org/news/2011-05-nuclear-power-world-energy.html
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-energy-nuclearpower-idUSKBN1W909J
https://spectator.clingendael.org/en/publication/nuclear-energy-too-costly-and-too-late
https://www.ucsusa.org/resources/nuclear-power-still-not-viable-without-subsidies
while renewables are pretty much the opposite on every one of these points. The nuclear industry - like the fossil fuel lobby - is part of the problem, not part of the solution.
Disastrous_Ball2542 t1_jd2gd6m wrote
Reply to comment by mjrossman in AI displacing jobs is a red herring, how we self-organize is the more fundamental trend by mjrossman
Ok I'll just be blunt this time then. Your question is basically asking the same thing, whether the market is evaluating cost effectiveness of AI replacing job it is basically same as evaluating market value of nature of change in the firm
AI has reduced $100mil in payroll vs the perceived market value of XYZ change in the nature in the firm has generated $100mil reduction in expenses or $100mil increase in value = basically same thing
[deleted] t1_jd2gab9 wrote
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zeezyman t1_jd2fsrg wrote
Reply to comment by ascended036 in UN climate report: Scientists release 'survival guide' to avert climate disaster by filosoful
*their, *outperformed, *their, *they're
[deleted] t1_jd2fofn wrote
Reply to AI creating Games by 2farzzz
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Baprr t1_jd2f3bj wrote
Reply to comment by alex20_202020 in I asked GPT-4 to compile a timeline on when which human tasks (not jobs) have been/will be replaced by AI or robots, plus one sentence reasoning each - it runs from 1959 to 2033. In a second post it lists which tasks it assumes will NOT be replaced by 2050, and why. (Remember it's cut-off 2021.) by marcandreewolf
Not really. If you read what people predicted in the past about 2023, you might believe that we already have colonies in space, fully autonomous self driving cars, and cure for cancer. You have to filter the output of the chatbot, or it's - well, not gibberish, but extremely suspect information. It doesn't check or provide sources.
This list might be used to look up current projects that are being developed, and with some effort be turned into maybe 20 points of exciting things to look forward to.
But right now it's low effort useless content.
OkSoBasicallyImDumb t1_jd2esim wrote
Reply to AI creating Games by 2farzzz
you kinda already can, it generates decent code thats probably less buggy than your average game dev
XperianPro t1_jd2e7qg wrote
Reply to comment by runaway-thread in UN climate report: Scientists release 'survival guide' to avert climate disaster by filosoful
Man that movie was straight up allegory for climate crisis.
mjrossman OP t1_jd2dube wrote
Reply to comment by Disastrous_Ball2542 in AI displacing jobs is a red herring, how we self-organize is the more fundamental trend by mjrossman
with all due respect, isn't it kind of a cliche to preface something with "not to be rude" with the self-awareness that you're about to state something condescending? and I'd argue the same point of originality or productivity when it comes to estimates of scale for displacement or acceleration. not going to belabor the point, but I'm just emphasizing that "AI replace jobs" is a red herring debate and a waste of time, the actual debate is whether the nature of the firm can be challenged, given the observed change to the market. "If you don't believe me or don't get it, I don't have time to try to convince you, sorry."
Shiningc OP t1_jd2dkvu wrote
Reply to comment by AcrobaticKitten in The difference between AI and AGI by Shiningc
Turing came up with a model of a theoretical general-purpose computer called the Turing machine, in which its equivalence is called Turing complete, which pretty much all modern general-purpose CPUs will have to abide by.
>A Turing machine is a general example of a central processing unit (CPU) that controls all data manipulation done by a computer, with the canonical machine using sequential memory to store data.
[deleted] t1_jd2de3t wrote
Reply to comment by dragonofthesouth1 in We've had public access to ChatGPT for 3 months now. Has anyone made any actual profitable business or quality thing with it? by eratonnn
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Zkootz t1_jd2cudw wrote
Reply to comment by burnbabyburn11 in 10 months after its launch by SpaceX, a $10,000 satellite made by students with off-the-shelf materials and powered by 48 Energizer AA batteries, is not only working, it's demonstrating a way to reduce space junk by lughnasadh
What would a gyro do more than rotate the satellite?
Disastrous_Ball2542 t1_jd2co7w wrote
Reply to comment by mjrossman in AI displacing jobs is a red herring, how we self-organize is the more fundamental trend by mjrossman
Not to be rude but ill be blunt. It's a lot of words you've typed but you ain't saying much other than hey its not happening now but some time in the future AI will replace a lot of jobs, some more likely than others... not exactly an original or controversial take on things
AcrobaticKitten t1_jd2ch0l wrote
Reply to The difference between AI and AGI by Shiningc
Turing had nothing to do with cpus
This is totally wrong
alex20_202020 t1_jd2cd0u wrote
Reply to comment by springmustache in I asked GPT-4 to compile a timeline on when which human tasks (not jobs) have been/will be replaced by AI or robots, plus one sentence reasoning each - it runs from 1959 to 2033. In a second post it lists which tasks it assumes will NOT be replaced by 2050, and why. (Remember it's cut-off 2021.) by marcandreewolf
I guess some AI might work with the poor.
YawnTractor_1756 t1_jd2hsyf wrote
Reply to comment by GimmickNG in UN climate report: Scientists release 'survival guide' to avert climate disaster by filosoful
As per IPCC we are on track to 2.5-2.7C warming by 2100.
Estimated sea rise for 2.5C is 58 cm.
People will not "be drowning" because of sea rise.
I believe in science. I don't believe in doomers crap.