Recent comments in /f/Futurology

Kaz_55 t1_jdh5kal wrote

Nuclear is so "cheap" that is outperformed by every other option on the market:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Levelized_cost_of_electricity

https://www.lazard.com/media/sptlfats/lazards-levelized-cost-of-energy-version-150-vf.pdf

It is also so "risk free" that the industry wouldn't be able to survive without special legal constructs that absolve it from any actual liability for these "non-existent" risks:

https://thebulletin.org/2020/02/the-us-government-insurance-scheme-for-nuclear-power-plant-accidents-no-longer-makes-sense/

https://thebulletin.org/2011/10/nuclear-liability-the-market-based-post-fukushima-case-for-ending-price-anderson/

>The Price-Anderson Act, which limits utility liability in the event of nuclear accidents, is totally out of sync with US energy goals because it places a heavy thumb on the scale of resource acquisition, favoring the wrong type of assets (high risk, high cost) in the current economic environment. In an uncertain environment, financial risk analysis teaches that the investor should preserve options and value flexibility by keeping decisions small and preferring investments with low, more predictable risks and short lead times. With their high risks, large sunk costs, long lead times, and extremely long asset lives, nuclear reactors are the worst type of assets to acquire at present.

Nuclear is pretty much the worst option and an active hinderance.

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Kaz_55 t1_jdh4xbi wrote

>after west killed the industry for 3 decades and made it a niche, low numbers "homemade" enterprise.

The nuclear industry has been the most well funded and subsidized energy industry in history, and this was still the case up to ~2005

https://world-nuclear.org/information-library/economic-aspects/energy-subsidies.aspx

"The west" didn't kill the nuclear industry. The inherent limitations and problems, along with eternal stagnation as far as results are concerned is what "killed" the nuclear industry. And citing "but China" isn't going to change that. Even the chinese have been scaling back their nuclear efforts:

https://www.colorado.edu/cas/2022/04/12/even-china-cannot-rescue-nuclear-power-its-woes

while pretty much every project involving renewables over there overdelivers. Nuclear is a dead end, simply because it's too slow, too expensive and it can't be scaled the way renewables can. Nuclear wouldn'T even be able to provide global base load capacity without running into massive issues.

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Reasonably_Bee t1_jdh209h wrote

yeah I mean as someone who has never been able to drive due to crappy eyesight, I want autonomous vehicles to work at scale. I don't see it as a quick process, the work that companies like Didi, Cruise, and Waymo are doing are just the tip of the iceberg long term and the more expertise and R&D in the sector (especially if projects are shuttered and teams move to competitors) the better.

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sharkinwolvesclothin t1_jdh1nec wrote

>I hope this can be addressed, as it will be able to run on smaller computers.

These issues are not specific to this chatbot/application. It's just that Stanford people have different incentives to for-profit companies. But yeah, hopefully they can be addressed, as most use cases people have would require the generating models not to have these behaviors.

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brutay t1_jdh0y32 wrote

Wolfram has done a lot of valuable things that are probably impossible for someone without a very strong sense of ego. His willingness to pursue iconoclastic threads of intellectual pursuit (New Kind of Science, Physics Project, Public CEOing, etc.) almost certainly goes hand in hand with a rare form of self-assuredness. It takes all sorts in this world.

And trust me. Anyone who goes into business with Wolfram knows what they're getting into. Or at least has no excuse for their ignorance. He's an extremely public figure. You can watch him manage his company on YouTube, if you're so inclined.

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DragonForg t1_jdgwpva wrote

LLMs are the future. How do you think? Through graphs, or through texts? So why build an AI model that isnt a substitute for how we think?

I do see the great potential, like wolfram alpha is an amazing software paired with GPT it can produce amazing results. And I think in the future AI will utilize the models as tool, just like it already is with ChatGPT plug-ins. We gave AI a voice, we let AI see and now AI can use tools.

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Mercurionio t1_jdgocc4 wrote

Our brain does NOT prove it. It's actually the opposite. Ask any autistic kid about 174th number in Pi and he will easily answer your question (exaggerating, but still).

What our brain proves is that it's highly concentrated even when we think it's not. Manipulating our body is a VERY demanding task, it consumes a lot of resources. So, when you are on a "trip", your brain will just relax and do whatever it wants. And your creativity will burst way better than gpt4, for example.

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