Warming WILL NOT STOP when emissions stop. Thus everything you have stated previously about the future is on track to slow emissions cannot be trusted.

The harder people overhype GPT, the harder AI Winter will fall.

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I'm a full-stack developer with Microsoft's MVC (model view controller) code pattern which, I think, is one of the most popular code pattern out there. Basically, I can ask ChatGPT to make data models with foreign keys everywhere, and it will:

--Construct the Interface.

--Models, functions, and model inheritances.

--The controllers.

--The views in a not so good manner.

--Several really good unit tests for the Models.

So at the ability of ChatGPT, it probably entirely replaces all the new programmers. Like before if I had 4 programmers doing that stuff, just 1 programmer is now needed.

ChatGPT is very very good indeed. And its ability to parse out natural English into a well-made function with unit tests is really good. It's almost spooky at how good it is at writing even complex function. For instance, I used to use the C# cookbook, pull out a function that sort of came close to what I needed, and spent time figuring out getting it to work. Not anymore; ChatGPT is incredibly good at figuring out what you're saying.

So instead of paying $80,000/year for a new full-stack developer, just pay $20/month for a subscription for a seasoned developer.

I don’t know about that - the higher level work is just as easily automated. AI is much more capable of scanning literature and case outcomes to make a specialist recommendation than any human being. If anything my instinct is that nurses will be able to function as translators of complex automated medical diagnoses and high level diagnosticians will lose out.

You claim you know what the real world is like. How? From what you read or saw on TV? What you've imagined? Or have you actually lived in it? If you haven't fully supported yourself in it, you have no idea.

Why would it make sense to treat sick people with fully privatized healthcare? Maybe if they have some super rich relative who can pay you, but otherwise why would you do it? You'd just trust them to pay once they were well enough to work, if they got well enough to work?

What possible capitalist incentive would there be to treat the sick who are too weak to contribute? Or is your idea of healthcare euthanizing everyone who can't contribute, that doesn't have family to care for them? Or you think people will care for the sick out of the goodness of their heart?

You want to know how a truly free market works? Look at the drug market. People often sell laced drugs that kill people. People kill each other over payment disputes.

The following submission statement was provided by /u/HorrorCharacter5127:

Submission statement

Whether it’s based on hallucinatory beliefs or not, an artificial-intelligence gold rush has started over the last several months to mine the anticipated business opportunities from generative AI models like ChatGPT. App developers, venture-backed startups, and some of the world’s largest corporations are all scrambling to make sense of the sensational text-generating bot released by OpenAI last November.

You can practically hear the shrieks from corner offices around the world: “What is our ChatGPT play? How do we make money off this?”

But while companies and executives see a clear chance to cash in, the likely impact of the technology on workers and the economy on the whole is far less obvious. Despite their limitations—chief among of them their propensity for making stuff up—ChatGPT and other recently released generative AI models hold the promise of automating all sorts of tasks that were previously thought to be solely in the realm of human creativity and reasoning, from writing to creating graphics to summarizing and analyzing data. That has left economists unsure how jobs and overall productivity might be affected.

Please reply to OP's comment here: https://old.reddit.com/r/Futurology/comments/121wtri/chatgpt_is_about_to_revolutionize_the_economy_we/jdnpowo/

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Its just some loud minority of people who think they smarter and above all the rest because they read or watched too many dystopian fiction and now can forsee the dark future!

I wonder what exactly it can tell, people all think different, some people think in words, some a visual picture, and others spatially.

I know what the real world is like. It's not great, which is why I want us to move to a capitalist system. And by capitalist system I mean, ideally no government at all, but at a bare minimum, at least completely privatize healthcare, education, banking, housing, money, etc. We are so so so far from that currently.

The government does not protect people, as you presume. The government is basically a giant mafia gang that systematically violates private property rights. It's a parasite that leeches off society. We would be enourmously wealthier right now if not for the government. Food insecurity, homelessness, dying from preventable diseases, these problems could have been eliminated already but so much of our increasing productivity is being syphoned away by the government.

We call those people "useful idiots" -Joseph Stalin

The same forces that have always been in play will ensure that any and all innovation will benefit the top 1%, not alleviate the burdens of the laborers. Neither the steam engine, nor electricity, nor the internet have actually allowed us to revolutionize the economy in a way that truly benefits the welfare of the working class. This will be no different.

Edit: naysayers, please please prove me wrong.

Wow. I don't even know where to begin with that level of naive innocence.

Have you ever worked for a living? I'm not talking about a summer job, I mean worked to pay for your own housing, food, transportation, healthcare? You really sound like someone who read about some idealized version of capitalism in a book, but who has otherwise been completely sheltered from the real world.

Let me give you a clue, people are fucking awful. They steal, cheat, and exploit others because they can. The government's job is to protect people from unsafe products, dangerous work environments, and predatory business practices.

You seem like you could use a few lessons from the school of hard knocks, I'll just hope they aren't too difficult.

Would you be able to tell if I didn't?

Man, some of you people are pessimistic without reason. Have some nuance.

AI is a double edged sword, like every piece of tech really.

It will sure as hell help the average Joe in more ways than one, especially in the medical field. However it will also enable bad actors.

What we need is get more of the good and less of the bad

Saying: "Billionaires bad, will fuck us all" is the easiest thing to say.

However, in all of history, technological advancements have helped even poorer people.

The greatest recent example:

The internet. We literally have all of human knowledge at the palm of our hands, we can connect with people who we wouldn't be able to in our lifetime, but at the same time, it's easier for companies to steal your data and spread misinformation.

See? It's double edged. A general rule of thumb is: If it doesn't have drawbacks it probably doesn't have much advantage to begin with.

Same with AI

Congress can and will pass legislation to ensure a US based company can't replace more than an X percentage of workers with AI. Or some other formula to ensure AI won't threaten economic stability. In order for a company to make a profit, consumers have to be able to at least afford credit.

If, in the future, population starts shrinking like in Japan and this poses economic threats of its own, then AI can be utilized to a greater degree.

You can thank the Federal Reserve and all other government interventions into the free market for that. If we had actual capitalism right now, poverty probably would've been eliminated already.

Submission statement

Whether it’s based on hallucinatory beliefs or not, an artificial-intelligence gold rush has started over the last several months to mine the anticipated business opportunities from generative AI models like ChatGPT. App developers, venture-backed startups, and some of the world’s largest corporations are all scrambling to make sense of the sensational text-generating bot released by OpenAI last November.

You can practically hear the shrieks from corner offices around the world: “What is our ChatGPT play? How do we make money off this?”

But while companies and executives see a clear chance to cash in, the likely impact of the technology on workers and the economy on the whole is far less obvious. Despite their limitations—chief among of them their propensity for making stuff up—ChatGPT and other recently released generative AI models hold the promise of automating all sorts of tasks that were previously thought to be solely in the realm of human creativity and reasoning, from writing to creating graphics to summarizing and analyzing data. That has left economists unsure how jobs and overall productivity might be affected.

If it worked like that, prices wouldn't be as high as they are now.

Competition between the home builders will drive prices down. It doesn't matter if housing is essential. Food is essential, yet you aren't charged a million dollars for pizza.

Why? Didn't your parents ever tell you money doesn't grow on trees? Where will these people live?

What makes you think savings from automation will be passed down to consumers? Especially on essential goods like housing.

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OpenAI has a growing list of plugins. It could ask a plugin, I think OpenTable, for information like hours when it doesn't have the information.