>It’s way ahead of what I expected a few months ago.

If it's all that they're claiming it's years ahead of where I thought it was even this morning.

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Demonstrating theory of mind is huge. Understanding not only that different people have different amounts of information about an event but also being able to extrapolate what that means for their probable future actions. That is mind blowing in itself.

honestly just skimmed through some posts and just saw it and thought "neat" and went on, didnt think more deeply on it, and that may be the biggest reason people are fooled... If you stop to read/think about it a bit more many times you can figure out something is wrong, but we are definitely reaching points where you cant just immediately see something is off about a picture. video deepfakes may still take a bit. but i havent actually seen how far they are on that front.

The answer to the title is "yes, obviously." Because you're asking just "can", which is easy. You have to ask a more precise question.

Can you fool some of the people some of the time? Absolutely.

Will you fool all of the people all of the time? No, and that will likely never happen (at minimum, because some people have access to deepfake-detection systems).

What you probably want to know is "what percentage of people can you fool, what percentage of the time?" And there's an additional potentially relevant detail - "how much does it cost to do this"?

Pretending to be someone else has been possible, and successfully accomplished, for centuries. Makeup - in the professional theater sense - can completely transform someone's appearance. The addition of technology to the "I look different" toolbox simply gives more options for speed and efficiency.

We've also had, from the very first days of photography, the ability to fake photos. And to do it well. Same thing for film; by spending enough resources, you can always fake something extremely convincingly.

The trick is not in whether it can be achieved, but in how much it costs. In particular, when and where we cross the "inflection point" that "identifying a fake of quality X" becomes more expensive than "creating a fake of quality X" - which may arrive at different times for different values of X.

It’s way ahead of what I expected a few months ago.

Well this was definitely written by AI

As a machinist my job would become quickly amazing and then non existent lol

Not shallowreals?

This whole deepfake thing could get way out of hand.. Just waiting for it to.

>The system goes online August 4th, 1997. Human decisions are removed from strategic defense. Skynet begins to learn at a geometric rate. It becomes self-aware at 2:14 a.m. Eastern time, August 29th.

I don´t think faking a picture or video makes a big difference when for most people, written lies are perfectly sufficient. Media outlets, politicians and others have long since been lying to people just by writing the lies down or saying them into a mic. And people believe it, form their opinions based on it and even act on it. No need for visual proof whatsoever.

Most things in nature follow fibonacci sequence and golden ratio in design which I find fascinating, and the fact I can ponder and appreciate the beauty in that is, to me, magical.

>Control of the source of "truth" to humanity...?

Truth with a controllable source is no truth.

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People generally aren't overly concerned with determining the accuracy/truthfulness/realness of whatever they are looking at. Social media is completely full of heavily filtered, edited, and photoshopped images. There are a whole lot of faces, asses, waists, and entire bodies out there that look absolutely nothing like the images representing them.

Even the text and just the general presentation of reality is suspect. Looking at someones Facebook or Instagram doesnt show their real life, it shows a highlight reel that is heavily edited.

Deepfakes are a drop in the bucket compared to all this. It's very easy to trick someone that is lied to basically 100% of the time already.

Ugh capitalism. I’m going to HATE when they charge money to save my life and drastically improve my everyday life. This system is the worst

The Current progress with AI probably will bring this tech way faster that 20-30 years. Especially if we get ASI at next decade.

If you think the deepfakes made by humans are realistic, wait until you see the deepfakes created by AI.

I think that answers OPs question 😄

The future is now

This future is now. Also it could very well be a deep fake, we don't know how they created it. If you use prompt by image, you are definitely already in deep fake territory.

Silver_Ad_6874, while the potential benefits of AGI are certainly significant, we must also consider the potential risks and consequences that come with such a powerful technology. The acceleration of productivity you speak of could indeed be enormous, but it could also lead to massive job displacement and societal upheaval.

Furthermore, as you mentioned, combining AGI with advanced robotics technology could lead to catastrophic outcomes if not handled responsibly. It is therefore essential that we approach the development of AGI with caution and careful consideration of the potential risks and consequences.

As for your suspicions around the nature of human intelligence, it is important to note that while AGI may be capable of performing tasks that were previously done by humans, it is still fundamentally different from human intelligence. AGI may be able to learn and acquire skills, but it lacks the subjective experience and consciousness that are intrinsic to human intelligence.

In short, while the emergence of AGI is a significant development, we must approach it with a balanced perspective that takes into account both its potential benefits and risks.

Interesting find, Malachiian. Microsoft's suggestion that the latest version of ChatGPT is an early sign of AGI is certainly a significant development in the field of AI. If this is indeed true, it could shift the timeline for AI forward by several years.

In terms of implications over the next 5 years, we could see a significant acceleration in the development of AI technologies. This could lead to the creation of more advanced and sophisticated AI systems, with the potential to revolutionize industries such as healthcare, transportation, and manufacturing.

However, we must also consider the potential risks associated with the development of AGI. As with any emerging technology, there is always the risk of unintended consequences or misuse. It is therefore essential that we approach the development of AGI in a responsible and ethical manner, with careful consideration of the potential risks and benefits.

Overall, the emergence of AGI represents a significant milestone in the development of AI, and we should continue to closely monitor its progress in the coming years.

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Pretty sure OP is high on their own supply.

>Then I typed, because I was not going to take a chance that I could not understand a HS grad equivalent explanation, "Explain this abstract in a manner that would be appropriate to a 6th grader". And in a split second it did. And then I fully understood what the abstract meant.

Prove it. Post what it said to you. Let us see that it truly understood and not that you are simply seeing what you want to see.