Recent comments in /f/Futurology

Rogermcfarley t1_je48rld wrote

It's early days with AI I don't know how much will be paywalled. However if it's part of your job then your workplace will pay for it. If you're learning then there will be student access. It is just a tool and there's much hype about it. I don't see any immediate threat that humans won't overcome and adapt to. The progress is startling but that's where we've got a little tripped up. I don't as of yet associate fear with AI just more possibilities. It really depends if powerful people get to gatekeep the power of future AI. That's something we don't yet know.

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Mercurionio t1_je48pn9 wrote

It will be improved towards what is needed.

The question is not about "I lost my job, where to go". The question is to plan ahead for a year at least.

Frankly, AI already did kill our future. We can't plan for it, we can't prepare for it, we don't what will happen tomorrow. It's like knowing the date of your death, but from the opposite angle. The same frustration and fear.

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MadDocsDuck t1_je47weo wrote

Do you know what the volumetric consumption rate is (i.e. CO2/Liter of culture/h)? That is really the decissive factor in such endeavours. If I remember correctly, past studies haven't been able to surpass the capture rate of a regular tree. That is still worth investigating because you can get better end products from the capture but you basically compete against planting trees and turning them into something else through sugar fermentation.

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Norseviking4 t1_je44g3a wrote

People hate this argument usually, but i see a role for government here. If a company makes a true agi, that company will be visited by the govt real fast. (Im in Scandinavia, so my govt doing this is not very scary)

Now, depending on the govt who do the visiting this may or may not be a good thing. But there is atleast a chance government regulation will lead to better outcomes than Microsoft taking over the world.

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Changleen t1_je438dd wrote

Green hydrogen is being invested in incredibly heavily around the world at the moment. Something like 26 billion USD of new investment was announced in 2022 alone. Hydrogen is a great energy carrier, and we can use it in a lot of industrial processes too. When you have a green energy grid with a lot of solar and wind, whenever there is oversupply you shunt this power into making green hydrogen. This actually has positive market effects for producers and consumers alike. Then when the wind stops blowing you use your fuel cell to make electricity. This part is pretty damn efficient.

The major part of the cost to make green hydrogen is the cost of electricity, and if you can engineer or take advantage of situations where electricity is cheap then it’s a great way to store energy that can last for years vs. batteries that slowly loose charge in weeks. Once you can make it for less than US$1 per kg, it becomes more attractive than diesel. The US DOE is investing $$ in their 1:1:1 challenge to get the average cost of green hydrogen down to less than $1 for 1 kilo in 1 decade. They may well succeed too.

If this happens there’s a tonne of cool stuff that might happen, not just cars and planes, bit alternative methods of making both concrete and steel which both happen to be 8% each of global CO2 output. Greening these processes would be a massive deal for our collective carbon footprint let alone the fun we could have with really long range lightweight cars and planes.

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Changleen t1_je42ap9 wrote

I’m not discounting nuclear at all, I particularly think these small modular reactors look amazing, and while we’re still talking fission rather than future fusion (let’s go!) then these molten salt reactor designs look great. They’re basically impossible to meltdown. Essentially the reaction situation is hard to maintain and any failure results in the reaction stopping rather than going critical. Good stuff. However it still comes with the problem of long (loooonnnnnggg) lasting radioactive waste. I can’t wait for fusion to get going.

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