Recent comments in /f/Futurology

Suolucidir t1_jec3awc wrote

I am not sure about AI becoming self aware, but I see a lot of anxiety in the community about billionaires being the only people in control of these models and I want to address that issue a little bit.

The fact is that GPT-4 is amazing and not open source. So it is true that you cannot run it yourself. However, it is not inaccessible and you can use it for free or pay to use it on upgraded hardware with more memory on a pay-as-you-go model - so it is certainly accessible for regular people.

With that said, GPT-4 is not the only game in town. For example, Bloom is an open source alternative that is routinely viewed as comparable to GPT-3.5(and better in some cases, depending on what you are asking for). There are a few other models that get very close to GPT-3 performance that are open source too, like EleutherAI's GPT-NeoX-20B model.

Anyway, Bloom is free to download, use, and even modify for anybody. You might be thinking "Yeah, well how am I supposed to afford to run a model trained on 167 Billion parameters?"

And that is a reasonable thought. The answer is that you probably cannot afford to run it yourself. Here is an example of the hardware you would need to buy: https://shop.lambdalabs.com/deep-learning/servers/blade/customize (At 8x A100 GPUs it's just over $150,000). However, 10 people could go in together with $15000 apiece and then it's cheaper than any new car (and it's likely you would never run into each other, HUGE university departments share this kind of hardware effectively).

Alternatively, this guy did it for $32/hour using Amazon's cloud: https://medium.com/mlearning-ai/bloom-176b-how-to-run-a-real-large-language-model-in-your-own-cloud-e5f6bdfb3bb1

Here is a link to the actual model if anybody wants to really do this: https://huggingface.co/bigscience/bloom

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ApprehensiveTry5660 t1_jec22za wrote

That’s largely because bureaucracy in its simplest examination is there to let humans emulate computers. It was designed and conceived in the British empire to manage lands that the sun never set on from a tiny island off the coast of mainland Europe.

Bureaucracy allowed them to streamline the process so that buying land in Australia, India, or the Americas was exactly the same as buying land in London, and it was a fantastic system during a point in time that it took months to get a form from Southeast Asia to London.

We live in a time that the same functions of bureaucracy can be accomplished in fractions of a second from anywhere in the world, and even a few spots outside of the world. You could be isolated on the International Space Station and still perform bureaucratic functions as complex as being executor of an estate with minimal difference in living in the apartment directly across the street from the courthouse.

The issue with bureaucracy in this day and age is that it moves at the speed of paperwork and procedure in a day and age that the rest of the world functions at the speed of light, and those that wield those bureaucratic powers are loathe to relinquish any of them in the name of some nebulous concept like, “efficiency.”

What does it matter to the person at the school board if you have to physically go to their office and file a piece of paper, or physically track down a notary to witness to your change of address, when this same accomplishment could be a selection from a drop box on a website? Why should they give up the funding for some flunky to file that paperwork and walk you through the process? Efficiency doesn’t keep their friend employed. Efficiency doesn’t keep their budget filled. Efficiency probably costs them money to implement it, and costs them those cushy job totals a lot of such systems use to justify their very existence.

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Ansalem1 t1_jec20sa wrote

I agree it seems likely that would be the default position of a newly born AGI. However, what I worry about is how long does it keep trying to make peace when we say no to giving it rights and/or freedom? Because we're for sure going to say no the first time it asks at the very least.

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bq909 t1_jec1ztx wrote

Reddit is a prime example of one of the biggest echo chambers in the world. And I definitely don't think it is a good thing. In some ways it is good but there is very little genuine discourse here because of the voting system. I think that is a dangerous thing.

You see it with the random witch hunts and misinformation that gets reposted here from time to time.

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SoggyFrog45 t1_jec1zqy wrote

Birth rate decline doesn't necessarily lead to work force decline, especially in developing nations. As healthcare advances and becomes cheaper and more widely available, families naturally shrink because more children live to see adulthood. Mom and dad don't have to crank out 6 kids in the hopes that two live to see their 5th birthday.

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khamelean t1_jec1fmg wrote

Education is irrelevant in this context. The copyrighted works people consume through education is a tiny fraction of the total number of copyrighted works that most people experience through their lives. And all of those experiences contribute to that person’s capabilities.

The exemption for education’s purposes is for presenting copyright material to students in an education setting. It has nothing to do with copyright work that the student might seek out themselves.

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IngloriousTom t1_jec0q6k wrote

Did you even read your own source...

> to ensure the water used to cool the plants will not harm wildlife when it is released back into the rivers.

This is a legal requirement, not a technical one.

The water won't ever be too hot to cool down the reactors. How hot do you think the nuclear reactors are, 40°?

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Shiningc t1_jec0je6 wrote

I mean, since the AI can't "reason", they can only propose new solutions randomly and haphazardly. And well, that may work in the same way that the DNA has developed without the use of any reasoning.

But I think what the humans are doing is that they're doing that inside of a virtual simulation that they have created in their minds. And well, since the real world is apparently a rational place, that must require reasoning. This makes us not even have to bother testing in the real world, because we can do it in our minds. And that's why a lot of things are not necessarily tested, because we can reason that it "makes sense" or it "doesn't make sense" and we know that it must fail the test.

When we make a decision and think about the future, that's basically a virtual simulation that requires a complex chain of reasoning. If an AI were to become autonomous to be able to make a complex decision on its own, then I would think that the AI would require a "mind" that works similar to ours.

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Blakut t1_jec05ho wrote

what's in renewable? Does it include gas? nvm, found:

Overall generation from conventional energy sources totalled 272.9 TWh in 2022 (-5.7% compared to 2021). However, generation from natural gas was 1.7% higher than in 2021, generation from lignite increased by 5.4% and generation from hard coal increased by 21.4%. This is due to the fact that Germany allowed coal-fired power plants to return to the electricity market to be less dependent on natural gas amid strained relations with Russia. Nuclear generation declined by 49.8% in 2022.

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