Kinexity
Kinexity t1_iuhk6f1 wrote
Reply to comment by Mtbruning in New solar capacity 10 times cheaper than gas, says intelligence company Rystad by EnergyTransitionNews
Problem is energy density and it has no simple solution. Yes, you can convert water tower into little battery but how much energy is it even going to store? Quick napkin math based on typical water tower from Google (50m in height, 4 million litres) gives us only about 555 kWh. The less energy storage we need, the better. Hydrogen could replace gas for on demand power but it's inefficient to turn power into it and back. Wind sometimes blows, sometimes doesn't just like with the sun. I'm hearing geo-thermal constantly but I have yet to hear how is it supposed in countries where there isn't that much heat in the ground compared to eg. Iceland where they have fuckton of it. Wave has yet to prove itself unless you talk here about tidal power. Batteries - energy density problem, resources problem in case of chemical ones. Biochemical - never heard of that one, you're free to drop some sources. Each of those solutions comes with problems of their own which aren't that simple to mitigate. Yes, you can use them together and maybe from combining many problematic solutions get somewhat reliable power but that takes effort and many governments don't like effort.
Kinexity t1_iuhg6tg wrote
Reply to comment by Mtbruning in New solar capacity 10 times cheaper than gas, says intelligence company Rystad by EnergyTransitionNews
You need:
- Place for two reservoirs with height difference
- With natural environment you're willing to destroy It's not all shine and rainbows. If it was that easy we would spam them everywhere.
Kinexity t1_iugjnsu wrote
Reply to New solar capacity 10 times cheaper than gas, says intelligence company Rystad by EnergyTransitionNews
This may be true but the problem is that gas and solar do not perform the same function. Solar is day only and proportional to amount of sun light while gas is on demand which means you can't just replace gas with solar.
Kinexity t1_iuf18my wrote
Reply to comment by ButaButaPig in What's the AI scene like in China? by TachibanaRE
>it's not like you feel that you have any less freedom here than elsewhere
The important part is "feel". Chinese governemnt makes sure that as long as you are "law-abiding" citzen you can fuck around and they don't bother you. The freedoms disappear like a puff of smoke if they don't like you and the problematic part are the reasons they may not like you.
Kinexity t1_iub3cuz wrote
It's probably right but not the way many people may think. By 2026 AI will be generating bottom 90% of content which isn't the part people look for. Top content will remain exclusively human-made for probably at least a decade.
Kinexity t1_iuadkm4 wrote
As a person who have seen their fair share of scientific papers - not much of an improvement. Scientific papers use very specific language and structure which already makes extracting information like this very easy. Also most papers are information-dense so it's hard to make them short but it also points out to something that would be actually use case for AI - explaining and elaborating of the content of papers because it is at least sometime the case that new information is thrown at you with links to other sources and reading next 60 papers to fully comprehend the one you're reading right now isn't time efficient.
Kinexity t1_iua9yni wrote
Reply to comment by LeonardSmallsJr in [OC] Average Elevation by Country by two_plus_two_is_zero
- Eastern and Central Europe
- This area is part of European Plain. It's as flat and low as it gets in Europe.
Kinexity t1_iu0a0sk wrote
Reply to comment by TheSingulatarian in The Great People Shortage is coming — and it's going to cause global economic chaos | Researchers predict that the world's population will decline in the next 40 years due to declining birth rates — and it will cause a massive shortage of workers. by Shelfrock77
Somewhat true. One of my profs wanted initially to work in a financial firm but at the end said fuck it. Wall Street will (or at least should if not even must) loose importance so we should free up more potential engineers.
Kinexity t1_iu00e1g wrote
Reply to comment by Kong_Here in The Great People Shortage is coming — and it's going to cause global economic chaos | Researchers predict that the world's population will decline in the next 40 years due to declining birth rates — and it will cause a massive shortage of workers. by Shelfrock77
The less people need to do other jobs the mor engineers you can have. Not everyone can be an engineer but there is more people who can be engineers than those that actually become engineers.
Kinexity t1_ittxnge wrote
Reply to comment by genshiryoku in With all the AI breakthroughs and IT advancements the past year, how do people react these days when you try to discuss the nearing automation and AGI revolution? by AdditionalPizza
How is your system and culture of work perceived by younger generation? Are they dissatisfied with it or did they already bought into it and it's a Stockholm syndrome? I don't know how much in line with reality my opinion is but I'd expect that your government will sooner than later introduce UBI but living only off of it will be frowned upon and there will be peer pressure to work in bullshit jobs. 10 years for automation of most jobs isn't realistic. It may seem possible from the point of view of an office worker but manual jobs are very far from getting automated.
Kinexity t1_itrvw83 wrote
Reply to With all the AI breakthroughs and IT advancements the past year, how do people react these days when you try to discuss the nearing automation and AGI revolution? by AdditionalPizza
I study physics and probably all of the people from my generation within STEM fields are at least partially aware that full automation is a matter of time though eg. my sister who is also STEM student is probably oblivious to the idea so the spectrum is wide. General sentiment is that most jobs will be automated within realistic period of 20-30 years, not <10.
My sample for older generation is narrow as it's hard to find people like this who are both willing to talk about this stuff and are within my contact circle. I know my mom cannot comprehend the idea of full automation and cannot believe there will be a point of no jobs for people which I think is a view shared by many people of her age. I am suspecting that there is many older people with critical case of crab mentality who will do anything to slow down automation "because if they worked then everyone has to" and are willing to create a system of bullshit jobs just to force people to "work".
Kinexity t1_iteulp6 wrote
Reply to comment by beachmike in Could AGI stop climate change? by Weeb_Geek_7779
>You never heard of supervolcanos? You never heard of naturally occurring forest fires?
You have one task - find me a graph of the last 150-200 years of CO2 concentration with significant peak caused by natural catastrophe. The only way you can prove to me that extreme natural disasters change global climate is to show me the graph that proves it. I say they don't and have shown you a graph which, if you were correct, would have shown CO2 concetration peak in 1980. The worst volcanic eruptions we know of cause several years of less sunlight at worse and left no lasting effect.
>There is NO correlation between CO2 levels in the atmosphere and the earth's temperature.
Here you go, correlation.
>What happened to the climate cultists screaming about "global cooling" and the upcoming man-made ice-age during the 1980s and 1990s? OH YEAH, DIDN'T HAPPEN. What happened to Al Gore's "temperature hockey stick"? OH YEAH, DIDN'T HAPPEN. What happened to the prediction in 2009 by Al Gore and many other climate clowns that the polar ice caps would be completely melted by 2014? OH YEAH, DIDN'T HAPPEN.
Where are papers that said that? I don't care what some randos said at some point. You seem to not understand the difference between scientific community and the activist community. Most scientists aren't activists. Activists may or may not overexagerate what scientists said.
"I've disproven by observation what some activist said which means the climate change doesn't exist" - no, bro, that's not how this works.
Also past performance does not predict future performance. You cannot say that even if someone was 100% wrong in the past that it means he'll be 100% wrong in the future.
>Do you know why so many academic studies agree with the cult of climate change? Because if the people applying for climate research grants disagree with the status quo, they don't get funding.
Which isn't true because that's not how scientific studies work. You don't do studies like "Proving that climate change doesn't exist". You do stuff like "Study of existance of the climate change". There is no results before the study. You can easily frame it however you like and then publish whatever comes out. There is no questionare about your views on your research topic. You just need to show there is a reason to reasearch something. It's against scientific methods to approach a problem with bias about the conclusion. Anything goes as long as you follow scientific protocol and don't make up shit. It's that easy. If some dumbass goes around saying that he doesn't get funding because they don't like his research he's lying and probably has a case of scientific misconduct against him.
Kinexity t1_itef4u1 wrote
Reply to comment by beachmike in Could AGI stop climate change? by Weeb_Geek_7779
I reread your comment and noticed this bullshit:
>One major volcanic eruption puts more green house gases into the atmosphere than humans have during the entire span of human civilization.
Now show me on this fucking graph when did the eruption of Mount St. Helens happen? Were the fuck is it? If it's so fucking huge compared to human source then why can't we fucking see it on a CO2 concetration graph? There should be a fucking peak in 1980 if you were right but there is none.
Also:
>The earth was far warmer in medieval times before humans even had an industrial civilization. What caused the warming then? The earth was even warmer during the era of ancient Rome.
Have you seen this fucking graph? Where did that "warmer" period go? Where is it?
Honestly I should have originally read first half of your comment before, not just the second half, as it contained the easiest bullshit. You just pull those "facts" out of your ass which are proven wrong by two graphs based on peer reviewed studies and pretend like "owned the libs" or whatever is your favourite term.
Kinexity t1_itdfij6 wrote
Reply to comment by beachmike in Could AGI stop climate change? by Weeb_Geek_7779
Bro, I literally study physics and currently have physics of weather and climate classes and a simple graph of CO2 absorption spectrum, CO2 levels and Earth's energy balance prove your wrong. Since the start of industrial revolution CO2 level grew by over 30%. It's not like there is that many of it in the atmosphere as if we were to compress it on sea level to standard pressure you get barely 3 metre high layer. It's fairly small amount. Increase in CO2 levels correlates with estimation of industrial emissions. There was no other significant sources at that time other than human industries. Then what follows is imbalance in energy received by Earth which is just on average +1 W/m^2 which causes increase in total energy stored on the surface of the earth which we observe as increase of temperature. It's not that fucking hard to understand. The longer we do measurment's the less we observe effects of Sun's activity because it turns out the Sun is quite stable and it's energy output doesn't really change. Earth's climate is a very complex dance of many effects and small alterations do change a lot. Over 30% increase in CO2 concentration isn't insignificant for a gas which has a lifetime of thousands of years in the atmosphere we reached such high increase because there isn't a lot of it in the atmosphere.
You could have literally chosen a more sane stance that effects of climate change aren't that signinficant and it's not really a problem but instead you've gone full crazy lying that climate change isn't real which is only true if you ignore 96% consensus in the scientific community and the overwhelming amount of scientific papers that support this consensus. Science isn't politics, if you lie but your lie will be discovered. People who deny climate change either have stakes in biggest polluters or are stubborn idiots railed up by said people who can't accept that changes need to be made.
Kinexity t1_itcos2o wrote
Reply to Could AGI stop climate change? by Weeb_Geek_7779
People will search for any solution not fight the problem they created.
Kinexity t1_itcoogg wrote
Reply to comment by beachmike in Could AGI stop climate change? by Weeb_Geek_7779
The fact that it has been proven by research multiple times does though.
Kinexity t1_itbwp5m wrote
Reply to comment by Professional-Song216 in TabPFN, a new tabular data classification method that takes 1 second & yields SOTA performance (better than hyperparameter-optimized gradient boosting in 1h). by Denpol88
People who don't have a clue also don't have a clue about most technology. It's not that hard to figure out looking at estimates for compute of human brain that our ML models are very inefficient which is why we got so much gains currently. Current growth in ML is like Moore's Law in semiconductors in 70s - everyone knew back then that there is a lot of room to grow but you could only get there through incremental changes.
Kinexity t1_it072ol wrote
Reply to comment by BrotherEstapol in Australia can Slash Emissions 81% by 2030 using six Existing Technologies by DisasterousGiraffe
Australia moves a fuckton of cargo and people by trains already. Road trains are objectively worse in every circumstance except when it costs too much to put railway somewhere and I'll make an educated guess that they don't contribute that much to the problem of emissions as they go to low pop density areas.
Kinexity t1_isz1jpk wrote
Reply to comment by DisasterousGiraffe in Australia can Slash Emissions 81% by 2030 using six Existing Technologies by DisasterousGiraffe
Primary remover of emissions from aviation in Australia should be high speed rail. Not all routes can be replaced by trains (I assume because of the size of australia there is a lot of those small plaines going to many remote locations) but the most emissions come from the busiest routes. Brisbane-Sydney-Canberra-Melbourne-Adelaide high speed rail corridor should be a priority for Australian government. They should reach out to some known operators to get it built quick because 2065 deadline of their current plan (without Adelaide) is a joke. Either Renfe, SNCF or JR (better not CRRC to avoid China dependence) would be probably more than willing to take that contract and do that in half of that time or less.
Kinexity t1_isyjifw wrote
Reply to comment by DisasterousGiraffe in Australia can Slash Emissions 81% by 2030 using six Existing Technologies by DisasterousGiraffe
I did not mean that trains are a big contributor because they run on fossil fuels but rather that road and plane traffic needs to be switched to electric trains because while switching to trains will already yield significant emission reduction the emissions from trains will also need to be removed. One could argue that trains could run on hydrogen but that's inefficient and incurs many new problems.
Kinexity t1_isycxua wrote
Reply to Since Humans Need Not Apply video there has not much been videos which supports CGP Grey's claim by RavenWolf1
At the end of the day automation will prevail and the question isn't if but when. It doesn't matter what people say or think as the economics will settle this. There is a simple proof of that based on two axioms (we assume it's extremely unlikely they are wrong):
- There is no job where there cannot exist a robot which will be able to replace a human.
- AGI can exist
As such we just need a robot and a system intelligent enough to run it. If you can build a supply chain run by only robots which builds robots in a robot factory faster than exisiting robots are thrown out you get a system which without any human input can output robots capable of replacing every human in their job (we assume AGI, and human-like capable robots have been reached).
It's reasonable to belive that transition to full automation is a form of phase transition of human civilization (phase transitions are a wider thing than just change of phase of physical substances). Similar to how when ice melts into water there is this additional amount of energy which doesn't go into heat but into breaking up the solid structure there may be additional amount of effort needed to go switch to full automation.
Kinexity t1_isyaxau wrote
Reply to comment by DisasterousGiraffe in Australia can Slash Emissions 81% by 2030 using six Existing Technologies by DisasterousGiraffe
There is seven actually - electric trains. As per Wikipedia 17% of Australian emissions come from transportation and while Australia seems to be quite big on trains their electrification is lacking to say the least. Also while electric vehicles cut down emissions it shouldn't be ignored how resource heavy they are and replacement 1-to-1 of ICEs to EVs isn't the way (not even talking about myriad of other problems EVs inherit from ICEs).
Kinexity t1_isgqkce wrote
Reply to comment by crua9 in Some of the biggest holdups on elective biotech by crua9
That's a long way to say that you're right on the principle that your opinion cannot be wrong. Edit: bruh. He blocked me.
Kinexity t1_isg4vux wrote
Reply to comment by crua9 in Some of the biggest holdups on elective biotech by crua9
>You obviously don't know what trustless means.
I do know what trustless means and I do know that you don't know what trustlessness implies.
>If you're saying crypto in general cost loads of energy. It's actually far far far less than the normal banking system. Look at how much energy Visa alone uses. Seriously think about this for 5 seconds. You never hear about media bitching about how much energy the banks use, you never even hear it come up in normal media. But how much energy do they use to just stay alive and do what they do? How much energy does it cost just to send money to someone overseas?
There is a difference in neccesity. We need banks. We don't need crypto. Also I do know banks use a lot of energy BUT crypto would use more if it were to replace it. BTC transfer is 5-6 orders of magnitude less efficient than VISA transaction and others don't fare much better until you introduce "lightining network" or whatever it was called but that's just reinventing VISA and you solved nothing.
>To send money to another country it might have to go through 15 countries and several weeks even if you're sending money to a country in walking distance. And each location takes a massive fee with it.
And crypto doesn't have fees? Also this problem already has a solution - a third party with pools of money on both sides which takes your money on one side and outputs on the other through it's own internal system. You just put some trust in them and possibilities are endless.
Also you need to buy your clown tokens on one side and have someone to buy them on the other while hoping the market won't tank in the mean time. Cryptos aren't currencies as they don't have economies where they circulate.
>If you're using the mining bit. Most are staking, but even if all were mining. It uses far less energy than Christmas lights in the USA alone. Lights that are just meant for cosmetic, that are only around for a month or less, and it's only looking at 1 country vs a world wide crypto mining. But... you don't hear anyone bitching about how much energy Christmas lights use. Keep in mind a ton of energy your power plant makes is wasted to prevent blackouts. That wasted energy in some locations goes to crypto mining and ramps up or down based on the electric company. Some electric companies even mine to help with this.
While handling how many operations? Yeah, not that many. Christmas lights have the benefit of looking nice. Can't say the same about crypto. Also fun fact - staking means trusting the parties of the system. So trustless.
Well how about instead of setting up crypto space heaters we install electrolysers to produce hydrogen? Same capabilities in load balancing with added benefit of using this surplus energy to produce something with tangible value, hydrogen, which we'll need a fuckton of in the near future. Oh, but that does not support the case for crypto, does it? Yeah...
>Trustless means the system works even without trust. I don't need to trust you to do the right thing, and you don't need to trust me to do the right thing. No trust is needed.
Idk who are explaining it to but in return I have an explanation of you of a phenomenon which is the inevitable obstacle which crypto will never overcome - trust is inversely correlated to energy expenditure. The less trust there is in your system the more energy you use. We can look at existing systems to notice this trend. Why do we need money? To exchange our work for it to get the things we need using it. Economy is a system where money circulates and represents work which someone somewhere put into something someone else needed. I'll leave out speculation on the market, crime and other weird events because they complicate the explanation while not adding anything new. So, money is a form of safeguard in the society which guarantees that you did some work to exchange for someone else's work. We build whole gigantic system around money and it's flow - a system which we use a fuckton of resources to run. Now, what would happen if we just could trust each other that everyone is doing their part? This system is no longer needed so we don't use energy to run it. Same goes for law (we can't trust that everyone is good), cryptography (we can't trust that nobody is listening), military (we can't trust our neighbours won't attack us) and so on. Every such systems demands energy because there is a lack of trust. Crypto also is a subject to this phenomenon - BTC uses a fuckton of energy because it requires relatively low amount of trust to work but it's not trustless because there are attacks against it and the system is only as good as the code. Staking takes less energy because you actually have to trust stakeholders. This is why crypto is dumb - you spend a fuckton of energy chasing trustlessness which isn't even there. Not even talking about psychological reasoning that people who are afraid to trust anyone and want trustless systems are dysfunctioning members of the society as it's built on trust as much as possible.
>I just told you this system exist in crypto. An AI/software ran company is called a DAO. That stands for Decentralized Autonomous Organization.
>
>We have a ton of them. One of the major plus of a DAO is it cuts out the corruption from the upper staff and the management of a company. Some pay full salaries with real $ to employees. Hiring accountants, graphic artist, and so on. Their boss is an AI.
DAOs' main reason of existance is avoiding legal liability for the shit certain group of people does "It wasn't us, it was the DAO". Someone has to be kept liable for the shit people do and we can't make "The Code" liable. Also bunch of ifs on the blockchain isn't AI. Tbh I have yet to do a deep dive on DAOs so here I have to fall back on Dan's video.
>We don't worry about transactions finishing. Stable coins are pegged to the $. 1 coin = $1.
Which is pegged by a pinky promise because no security guarantees exist. One word - TerraUSD. Potential for scams is endless if your promise people to keep their money without any outside control.
>The average person that transfers fiat to another country loses over 15% of the value due to fees and other things. It could take a few weeks.
>
>Crypto can be near instant. And some like Nano has 0 transfer fees.
I proposed an existing solution after third citation (above). You don't need crypto for it to be either instant or free. Also you get way worse transaction efficiency and all other problems of crypto.
>And?
And this points out to the fact that you're a cryptobro. Maybe good willing but ultimately misguided person on what society needs to be better and why it's not crypto.
>During this you proven your knowledge starts and ends with old propaganda. That you do 0 research in something.
If all what I said up to this point is "propaganda" by your standards then I can simply call out that there probably is a conflict of interest on your side as I hold no stakes in either crypto or banking system. You can call what I say propaganda if you want but at the end of the day company menagers are a lot money oriented people than I am and if crypto was as useful as you claim there would be companies implementing it left and right. There aren't and those that do implement it don't even operate with crypto but make deals with exchanges to convert it and just give them money directly which creates no crypto economy as the chain of crypto flow is broken.
Also age of the argument doesn't make it better or worse. It's not my fault cryptobros chose to speedrun 2 thousand years of finance only to arrive with same solutions that we already have but worse.
>Did you know most gov are working on their own CBDC. This is to include the USA. Basically after a given point you won't be able to use or get physical money, and all of it is going to be on the blockchain. Some countries already are pushing out there CBDC.
Which isn't crypto and there is no blockchain here. Blockchain is just an immutable database and shitty one at that. "Sorry bro, code is law. We can't undo the theft of your money" - said and will say no bank ever. Also CBDCs will be built on trust in the central authority. They aim for formalisation of already existing state of things - that is that money is increasingly virtual. None of the "projects" of cryptosphere will be implemented as the official solution.
>Now here is my question for you. Why do you care? Like why are you getting pissed? Why are you taking it so personal?
>
>Nothing you do will change what will or has happened. So why care enough to get pissed over a technology to the point you want to slander it without doing an ounce of research.
Because I hate inefficiencies, tech grift, greed, scams and other stuff associated with crypto and my comments are here to potentially inform anyone who doesn't know how wrong cryptobros are. I've already heard DYOR from flat earthers, anti-vax, tankies and other unhinged types who have trust issues. Also DYOR actually means "read same things as I do" because it implies that every research that you do which contradicts what "DYOR" guy said is wrong which is just dumb. I linked "Line goes up" because I trust that in the chain of people that did and passed on their research forward problems have been ironed out and I don't need to schizophrenically check everything that they said. It's good to live without trust issues.
Kinexity t1_iuhlvaw wrote
Reply to comment by pinkfootthegoose in New solar capacity 10 times cheaper than gas, says intelligence company Rystad by EnergyTransitionNews
What kind of "got ya" moment is this? Batteries require fuckton of rare resources (at least chemical one like li-ion, slightly different with those liquid salt ones etc. but they have yet to scale up in production). You can deploy them on some scale (single houses, smaller towns) but it's unrealistic to think it's a solution viable at nation or global scal.